20130101-155015.jpgI’ll have a go at politics now, I did a bit better here than on HE last year so fingers crossed:

1. All three party leaders will remain in post again
2. There will be some sort of bargain struck over boundary changes (perhaps equalising number of seats without reducing the number)
3. UKIP will not win any by-elections
4. UKIP will not sustain polling numbers above 10%
5. Lib Dems will end the year with their highest polling numbers since the 2010 honeymoon
6. The economy will grow reasonably well for 3 out of 4 quarters
7. George Osbourne’s budget will have some giveaways to stimulate growth, but the coalition will refuse to acknowledge that it is a stimulus package, or plan B.
8. The Government will announce major reforms to the immigration system to cope with new wave of immigrants from EU accession countries and to deal with anomalies that are hindering the relocation of highly skilled workers and international student recruitment
9. There will be no mass reshuffle, only tweaks to deal with resignations
10. Chris Huhne will be found not guilty of speeding offences. He will not return to Government though
11. The ridiculous and torrid Plebgate scandal will rumble on with no firm conclusion. It’s ultimately impossible to prove who said what without doubt. Andrew Mitchell’s reputation will be restored though, but he will not return to Government.
12. More huffing and puffing about Europe. Nothing will actually happen.
13. Labour will win every election going, handily.
14. Cuts in child benefit for households with an earner in the higher tax bracket (i.e. households earning more than £45,000 per year) will go down like sh*t in a cake and there will be an almighty hoo-hah. Not because of the inequity of it, but because that’s how much journalists earn and they consider themselves “average earners”. Average UK household income is about £40,000 with two earners.

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