Following on from my HE predictions, this is what I think will happen in politics this year:

  1. All 3 UK party leaders will remain in post
  2. Ken Livingstone will win the London mayoral election; giving Ed Miliband a much needed mid-year boost
  3. Nick Clegg will finish the year with his and Lib Dems’ highest poll numbers since they joined the coalition
  4. There will be a reshuffle mid-year, but it won’t bring much change. Cheryl Gillan, Caroline Spellman and Andrew Lansley will go and be replaced by Maria Miller, Theresa Villiers and another Conservative woman newly introduced to the House of Lords. (if Chris Huhne is charged for that speeding stuff, he will be replaced by Norman Lamb, otherwise Lib Dems sit tight)
  5. There will be a lot of huffing and puffing over Europe, but the UK will continue to wield a veto on treaty changes so no referendum will be required
  6. House of Lords reform will be scuppered by an alliance of Conservative MPs and Clegg hating Labour MPs
  7. More and more celebrities will tell the Leveson inquiry about their terrible put-upon lives, and the whole thing will lose sight of the genuinely gross abuses that have been inflicted on innocent people
  8. Nicolas Sarkozy will be re-elected as President of France
  9. Neither Mitt Romney or Newt Gingrich will be the Republican nominee for President
  10. Barack Obama will be re-elected and it will be a much closer election than we expect (one day we Brits will realise that Americans don’t see things the same way as us!)
  11. Vladimir Putin will be re-elected and crack down on protesters in Russia in a brutal and shocking manner
  12. Nobody will start a war with Iran (again!)

2 responses »

  1. […] isn’t a prediction (I tried that earlier in the year and so far it’s looking grim for my crystal ball!), but I found this chart on the […]

  2. […] Yesterday, I had a look back at my HE predictions for 2012, how did I do with politics? […]

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